Viendo archivo del viernes, 28 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 179 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels. Region 8
(S10W56) produced a C1/Sf flare as it continued to slowly decay.
This region may have been the source for a partial-halo coronal mass
ejection (CME) off the southwest limb late yesterday. Region 11
(S11W19) also continued to gradually decay. Minor spot growth was
noted in Region 17 (S19E02) and there appeared to be a minor mix of
polarities within its trailer spots.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity remained at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during the first half of
the period. Mostly unsettled levels are expected during the latter
half of the period in response to yesterday's partial halo CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Jun 137 Previsto 29 Jun-01 Jul 135/135/135 Media de 90 Días 28 Jun 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 003/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul 007/008-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Jun a 01 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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