Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 177 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels. A long-duration
C1 X-ray flare occurred at 26/0820 UTC associated with a prominence
eruption on the northeast limb near NE17. A coronal mass ejection
was also associated with the eruption, but did not appear to have an
Earthward component. Region 8 (S12W29) showed a minor degree of
magnetic complexity, but was stable with no significant changes. The
remaining regions were stable and simply-structured. Note: yesterday's
90-day mean 10.7 cm flux value of 154 was incorrect. The correct value
was 175.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jun 144 Previsto 27 Jun-29 Jun 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 26 Jun 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 007/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 007/008-007/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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