Viendo archivo del martes, 4 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 155 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. The largest
event of the period was a C2/Sf from Region 9978 (S20E07) at 04/1614
UTC. SOHO-EIT imagery revealed an eruptive prominence off the
southwest limb during 03/2200 - 04/0100 UTC, although no significant
x-ray enhancement was observed in association with this event. New
Region 9985 (N17E29) emerged on the visible disk and was numbered
today, along with new Region 9986 (N03E72) which rotated into view
from the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mainly low, with a chance for isolated M-class events, and an
associated slight increase in proton flare probabilities as the
larger active regions on the visible disk rotate through
geoeffective heliographic longitudes during the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active periods
corresponded primarily with sustained periods of southward IMF
orientation.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mainly unsettled for the first day of the forecast
period, trending toward mostly quiet to unsettled conditions
thereafter.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Jun 170 Previsto 05 Jun-07 Jun 165/165/170 Media de 90 Días 04 Jun 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 011/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 016/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 012/012-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Jun a 07 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 4 mayo 2024
Sunspot region 3663, X1 solar flare
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
CME Imagery isn't updating since May 3rd. 2AR3663 193Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 152024/05/03 X1.69 CME 26Space Weather Memes 344
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/06 | X4.4 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/06 | M1.3 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/02 | Kp7- (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 156.6 +63.6 |