Viendo archivo del lunes, 3 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 154 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Several weak, impulsive
C-class events were scattered throughout the period. Region 9973
(S16W03) is still relatively large in spot count and areal coverage,
but appears to be losing some magnetic complexity and has been
mostly quiescent through the period. Region 9978 (S20E21) has
increased somewhat in size and spot count, and along with Region
9979 (S28E36), is trending toward greater magnetic complexity. Most
other active regions on the visible disk remain little changed. New
Region 9984 (N19E13) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate for the forecast period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been mostly quiet to unsettled, with an
isolated high-latitude active period observed during 02/2100-2400
UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mainly unsettled, with some active and isolated minor
storm periods possible for the first day of the forecast period.
Thereafter, conditions are expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jun 170 Previsto 04 Jun-06 Jun 170/165/165 Media de 90 Días 03 Jun 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 014/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jun 011/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 020/020-012/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jun a 06 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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