Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 marzo 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Mar 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 067 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Mar 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare of the period was an optically uncorrelated C8 x-ray flare that occurred at 08/1456 UTC. There were many minor C-class flares during the period with two of them being attributed to Region 9859 (S10W05). This region is unimpressive but did show steady minor growth of umbral coverage today. Very little recorded radio activity today. New Regions 9865 (N14E72), and 9866 (S10E80) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. There is a slight chance of an isolated minor M-class flare occurring from Region 9859.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained elevated throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels with isolated unsettled conditions through the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Mar a 11 Mar
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Mar 177
  Previsto   09 Mar-11 Mar  175/175/175
  Media de 90 Días        08 Mar 218
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Mar  005/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Mar  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar  006/006-006/006-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Mar a 11 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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