Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Newly numbered
Region 9218 (N18E39) emerged early in the period, then showed
significant growth as it produced isolated C-class subflares. It was
classed as a simply-structured D-type spot group as the period
ended. Region 9212 (N10E22) showed an increase in spot count and a
slight increase in magnetic complexity. It produced a single
subflare during the latter half of the period. The remaining spot
groups were stable. Four new spot groups were numbered today
including Regions 9217 (S23W45), 9218, 9219 (N06E66), and 9220
(N08E75).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels. Regions 9212 and 9218 could produce isolated
M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels during the first two
days. Active levels will be possible on the final day due to coronal
hole effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Nov 204 Previsto 02 Nov-04 Nov 210/210/205 Media de 90 Días 01 Nov 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 007/010-007/010-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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