Viendo archivo del viernes, 6 octubre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Oct 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 280 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Oct 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was low. Today's largest event was a C2
x-ray event at 1011Z which was not observed optically. All of the
regions on the disk were quiet and stable. An 8 degree filament near
S40E06 disappeared sometime during the past 24 hours. The event is
spatially correlated with a CME that entered the LASCO/C2 field of
view at 1006Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active during the past 24
hours. Yesterday's disturbance persisted through 05/2400Z but
conditions became quiet after 06/0000Z with the northward turning of
the interplanetary magnetic field. Today's solar wind was
characterized by declining speeds, low densities, and weak,
northwardly directed magnetic fields, all of which lead to
predominantly quiet conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next two days, and is expected
to become unsettled by the third day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Oct a 09 Oct
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Oct 158 Previsto 07 Oct-09 Oct 150/140/135 Media de 90 Días 06 Oct 183
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Oct 058/096 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Oct 005/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Oct-09 Oct 005/010-005/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Oct a 09 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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