Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 abril 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Apr 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 092 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 APR 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. ONE OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED M1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT 02/0821Z. MINOR GROWTH WAS
REPORTED IN REGION 8504 (S28E23). MINOR SURGING WAS OBSERVED AGAIN
TODAY ON THE NORTHEAST LIMB. NO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. HOWEVER,
ONE PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED FROM 02/0300 - 0600Z. THIS
ACTIVITY IS BELIEVED TO BE RELATED TO A HIGH SPEED CORONAL HOLE
STREAM IMPACTING THE EARTH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE TO MINOR
STORM LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS DUE TO THE
CONTINUATION OF AN ELONGATED CORONAL HOLE IN THE SOLAR SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 APR a 05 APR
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 APR 100 Previsto 03 APR-05 APR 104/106/110 Media de 90 Días 02 APR 135
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 APR 014/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 APR 014/014 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 APR-05 APR 015/015-015/020-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 APR a 05 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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