Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 abril 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Apr 03 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 093 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 APR 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW SMALL FLARES WERE OBSERVED SINCE YESTERDAY, NONE OF WHICH WERE ABOVE A C3 X-RAY LEVEL. REGION 8504 (S28E11) DISPLAYED MODERATE GROWTH DURING THE PERIOD. NEW REGIONS 8506 (S26W02), 8507 (N11E58), AND 8508 (N18E79) WERE NUMBERED TODAY. REGION 8508 APPEARS TO BE THE RETURN OF OLD REGION 8485, THE PRODUCER OF FIVE M-CLASS FLARES LAST ROTATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGIONS 8504, 8506, AND 8508 ARE EXHIBITING SPORADIC SURGING AND BRIGHTENING. EACH OF THESE REGIONS MAY DEVELOP THE CAPABILITY OF M-CLASS X-RAY EVENT PRODUCTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTELD. ISOLATED ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD DUE TO AN ELONGATED CORONAL HOLE IN THE SOLAR SOUTHWEST QUADRANT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 APR a 06 APR
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       03 APR 103
  Previsto   04 APR-06 APR  110/115/122
  Media de 90 Días        03 APR 134
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 APR  007/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 APR  012/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 APR-06 APR  015/020-012/015-012/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 APR a 06 APR
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%35%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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