Viendo archivo del domingo, 7 marzo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Mar 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 MAR 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A LONG DURATION C2/SF FROM
REGION 8475 (N30W64) OCCURRED AT 06/2323Z. REGION 8477 (S25W10)
PRODUCED A C2/SF AT 07/0408Z. AN 11 DEGREE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED AT
N30W35 BETWEEN 06/0954-2307Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS WITH
MAJOR STORM LEVELS AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE NIGHTTIME SECTORS.
THE MOST PROBABLE CAUSE IS THE ELONGATED CORONAL HOLE IN THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SUN.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED WITH PERIODS OF ACTIVE LEVELS
OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE ELONGATED CORONAL HOLE IN THE
SOUTHWEST SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NEAR EARTH ENVIRONS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 MAR a 10 MAR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 MAR 110 Previsto 08 MAR-10 MAR 112/114/116 Media de 90 Días 07 MAR 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 MAR 007/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 MAR 025/024 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 MAR-10 MAR 015/016-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 MAR a 10 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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