Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 febrero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Feb 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 FEB 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY INCREASED TO LOW LEVELS. ISOLATED
C-CLASS SUBFLARES OCCURRED. NEWLY NUMBERED REGIONS 8457 (N18E73) AND
8458 (S23E76) MARKED THE RESPECTIVE RETURNS OF OLD 8440 AND 8439.
NEW REGION 8459 (S28E48) WAS ALSO ASSIGNED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN
ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD DECLINED TO MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS AT ALL
LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEO-SYNCHRONOUS
ALTITUDE CONTINUED AN INCREASING TREND, BUT REMAINED AT MODERATE
LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS DURING 09 - 10
FEBRUARY, THEN DECLINE TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS ON 11 FEBRUARY.
THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEO-SYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 FEB 125 Previsto 09 FEB-11 FEB 135/145/150 Media de 90 Días 08 FEB 140
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 FEB 009/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 FEB 005/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 FEB-11 FEB 015/011-015/011-012/011
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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