Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 marzo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Mar 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 065 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 MAR 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT
06/1410Z WHICH WAS OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8482 (S26E64) AND REGION 8483 (S18W05).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH PERIODS OF ACTIVE
TO MINOR STOM CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. PERIODS
OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE CONTINUING PRESENCE OF
THE ELONGATED CORONAL HOLE IN THE SOUTHWEST.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 MAR a 09 MAR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 MAR 114 Previsto 07 MAR-09 MAR 116/118/125 Media de 90 Días 06 MAR 143
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR 017/018 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR 008/009-008/009-008/009
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 MAR a 09 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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