Viendo archivo del martes, 3 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. THIS WAS CAUSED BY A
SINGLE M1/2N FLARE THAT OCCURRED ON 03/1933UT IN REGION 8375
(N18E07). FOR THE REST OF THE DAY ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8375
WAS THE MOST ACTIVE REGION WITH A 22 SPOT CAO, BETA-GAMMA GROUP. A
NEW REGION 8378 (N17E76) WAS NUMBERED. IT IS ROTATING ONTO THE EAST
LIMB AND CURRENTLY IS A SINGLE SPOT HAX, BETA GROUP. THE REST OF THE
DISK AND LIMB WAS MOSTLY QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
WITH THE REMOTE POSSIBILITY OF REGION 8375 PRODUCING AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FILED WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS OCCURRING ON 05 NOVEMBER DUE TO THE M1 EVENT ON
03/1933UT.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 NOV a 06 NOV
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 NOV 152 Previsto 04 NOV-06 NOV 135/140/140 Media de 90 Días 03 NOV 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 NOV 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 NOV 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 NOV-06 NOV 008/008-020/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 NOV a 06 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 50% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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