Viendo archivo del lunes, 2 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
: : : : : CORRECTED COPY : : : : : : : : : : SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE C4/1F EVENT OCCURRED
IN REGION 8376 (S27E41) AT 02/1358UT. THIS IS A NEW NUMBERED REGION
DUE TO THE FACT THAT IT CREATED AN X-RAY AND OPTICAL FLARE, EVEN
THOUGH IT DOES NOT CONTAIN ANY SPOTS. ANOTHER NEW REGION WAS
NUMBERED 8377 (N22E75). REGION 8377 IS ROTATING ONTO THE EAST LIMB
AND CONTAINS A SINGLE SPOT AT THIS TIME. REGION 8375 (N19E20)
PRODUCED A SINGLE OPTICAL FLARE. THE REST OF THE REGIONS HAVE BEEN
MOSTLY QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES MAY OCCUR FROM REGIONS 8375 AND
8376.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRONS AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT HIGH LEVELS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD AND
THEN FALLING BELOW THRESHOLD LEVELS AT 02/2000UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 NOV a 05 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 NOV 126 Previsto 03 NOV-05 NOV 125/130/130 Media de 90 Días 02 NOV 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 NOV 002/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 NOV 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 NOV-05 NOV 010/008-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 NOV a 05 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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