Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SMALL C-CLASS SUBFLARES
CONTINUE FROM A VARIETY OF ACTIVE REGIONS. THE LARGEST OF THESE,
WHICH WAS ASSOCIATED WITH AN OPTICAL REPORT, WAS A C1/SF AT 10/1102Z
IN REGION 8199 (S28W42). GROWTH IN REGION 8200 (S22W07) IS SLOWING
AS THE REGION MATURES INTO A SMALL D-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8193 (S23W38),
8194 (S17E10), 8195 (S25E18), 8198 (S28E36), 8199 (S28W42), AND 8200
(S22W07). ALL OF THESE REGIONS ARE ALSO CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. ACTIVE CONDITIONS
WERE OBSERVED AT SEVERAL STATIONS DURING THE 10/1500-1800UT PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 APR a 13 APR
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 APR 130 Previsto 11 APR-13 APR 128/126/126 Media de 90 Días 10 APR 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 APR 006/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 APR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 APR-13 APR 010/010-010/013-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 APR a 13 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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