Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 099 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW SMALL C-CLASS FLARES
HAVE OCCURRED. REGION 8194 (S18E24) PRODUCED THE LARGEST FLARE OF
THE DAY, A C5/1F AT 08/2138Z. THREE ACTIVE REGIONS WERE NEWLY
NUMBERED: 8200 (S21E06), 8201 (N19E62), AND 8202 (S21E56). REGION
8200 IS EMERGING RAPIDLY AND HAS ALREADY STARTED TO DEVELOP
PENUMBRA.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THE MOST LIKELY CANDIDATES FOR FLARE ACTIVITY ARE
REGIONS 8194, 8195 (S27E27), 8198 (S28E49), AND 8200.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 APR a 12 APR
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 APR 140 Previsto 10 APR-12 APR 140/140/138 Media de 90 Días 09 APR 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 APR 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 APR 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 APR-12 APR 005/010-005/010-010/013
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 APR a 12 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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