Viendo archivo del sábado, 11 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THREE SMALL C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, THE LARGEST AN UNCORRELATED C3
FLARE AT 11/0912. REGION 8194 (S19W03) GENERATED THE ONLY CORRELATED
EVENT, A C1/SF FLARE AT 11/1513Z. ALL OF THE 7 ACTIVE REGIONS
CURRENTLY ON THE VISIBLE DISK HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY STABLE SINCE
YESTERDAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LOW, WITH THE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS RECORDED AT HIGH
LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL 11/0900-1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 APR a 14 APR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 APR 128 Previsto 12 APR-14 APR 128/126/126 Media de 90 Días 11 APR ???
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 APR 008/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 APR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 APR-14 APR 010/013-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 APR a 14 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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