Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 096 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT MODERATE LEVELS. REGION
8195 (S26E75) PRODUCED AN M1/2F FLARE AT 06/1648UT. REGION 8194
(S18E60) PRODUCED A COUPLE SUBFLARES DURING THE PERIOD. LIMB
PROXIMITY PREVENTED A DETAILED ANALYSIS OF THESE TWO REGIONS. BOTH
REGIONS APPEAR TO SHARE A COMMON NEUTRAL LINE. A WEAK TYPE II SWEEP
OCCURRED AT 06/0455UT, BUT HAD NO OPTICAL CORRELATION. REGION 8193
(S22E14) CONTINUED TO DISPLAY GRADUAL GROWTH IN AREA AND SPOT COUNT,
BUT PRODUCED NO FLARES. NO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT MODERATE LEVELS. M-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE 8194/8195
REGION COMPLEX. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A MAJOR FLARE FROM THIS
AREA AS WELL.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 APR a 09 APR
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 APR 133 Previsto 07 APR-09 APR 136/138/140 Media de 90 Días 06 APR 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 APR 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 APR 006/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 APR-09 APR 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 APR a 09 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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