Viendo archivo del martes, 7 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 097 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A FEW SMALL C-CLASS
FLARES, NONE OF WHICH HAD CORRESPONDING OPTICAL REPORTS. THE LARGEST
OF THESE WAS A C1 AT 07/0110Z. FOUR NEW ACTIVE REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED: REGION 8196 (N18W61) EMERGED AS A SMALL BIPOLAR GROUP;
REGION 8197 (N32E48) LIKEWISE EMERGED AS A SMALL BIPOLE; 8198
(S28E74) ROTATED AROUND THE SOUTHEAST LIMB AS PART OF THE 8194/8195
ACTIVE REGION COMPLEX; AND 8199 (S26W02) IS EMERGING RAPIDLY JUST TO
THE SOUTH OF REGION 8193 (S23E02).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS OF POTENTIAL M-CLASS ACTIVITY ARE
THE 8193/8199 AREA AND THE COMPLEX COMPRISED OF REGIONS 8194, 8195,
AND 8198.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. A SHOCK OBSERVED BY
ACE SENSORS AT ABOUT 07/1650Z WAS FOLLOWD BY A SUDDEN IMPULSE
RESPONSE DETECTED IN GOES AND GROUND-BASED MAGNETOMETERS AT ABOUT
07/1750Z. THE FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY UNSETTLED SINCE THE SHOCK.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 APR a 10 APR
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 APR 135 Previsto 08 APR-10 APR 138/140/142 Media de 90 Días 07 APR 101
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 APR 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 APR 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 APR-10 APR 010/008-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 APR a 10 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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