Viendo archivo del martes, 26 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 331 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04W07)
PRODUCED A C1/SF FLARE AT 26/1339Z. THIS REGION STABILIZED
DURING THE PERIOD AND MAY BE EXHIBITING SLIGHT DECAY. SOME
ISOLATED MIXED POLARITIES WERE OBSERVED BUT THE REGION IS
PREDOMINANTLY BI-POLAR. ONLY POLAR CORONAL HOLES WERE
VISIBLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE
PREDOMINANTLY LOW. REGION 7999 RETAINS THE CAPABILITY OF
PRODUCING AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT. HOWEVER, IF THE CURRENT
DECAY TREND IN REGION 7999 CONTINUES, BOTH C-CLASS AND M-CLASS
FLARES WILL BECOME LESS LIKELY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE A BENIGN STREAM IN THE EARTH'S
VICINITY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT
THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 NOV a 29 NOV
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 NOV 104 Previsto 27 NOV-29 NOV 102/098/096 Media de 90 Días 26 NOV 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 NOV 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 NOV 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 NOV-29 NOV 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 NOV a 29 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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