Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 diciembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Dec 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 358 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 DEC 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8008 (S04W10)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL SUBFLARES. NONE OF THEM WERE ASSOCIATED
WITH SIGNIFICANT X-RAY OUTPUT. A SMALL FILAMENT ERUPTED NEAR
(S14W67) BEGINNING AT 23/2016Z. THIS DSF WAS LOCATED NEAR REGION
8005 (S13W67) AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A B2/SF FLARE WHICH PEAKED AT
23/2053Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. MINOR STORM
CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT SOME LOCATIONS DURING THE 23/0000-0300Z
PERIOD. THE FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET SINCE ABOUT 23/0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT DAY, BECOMING MOSTLY
QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 DEC a 26 DEC
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 DEC 080 Previsto 24 DEC-26 DEC 076/074/070 Media de 90 Días 23 DEC 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 DEC 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 DEC 010/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 DEC-26 DEC 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 DEC a 26 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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