Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 332 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A VERY LONG DURATION
B9 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 26/2048-27/0456Z. OPTICAL
OBSERVATORIES OBSERVED BRIGHT KNOTS OF MATERIAL FLOWING ABOVE
THE WEST LIMB NEAR N05 WHERE REGION 7997 IS LOCATED. SPACE-BASED
CORONAGRAPH IMAGES NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT SHOWED A LARGE
(GREATER THAN 1 SOLAR DIAMETER) CORONAL MASS EJECTION OVER THE
WEST LIMB. YOHKOH X-RAY IMAGES IN THE DECAY OF THE EVENT SHOWED
A LARGE, POST-CME ARCADE IN THAT LOCATION. REGION 7999 (S05W21)
WAS STABLE AND WEAK MIXED POLARITIES REMAINED IN THE CENTER OF
THE REGION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO
BE LOW. REGION 7999 RETAINS THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING
C-CLASS AND ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS WERE EXPERIENCED IN THE 27/0300-0600Z PERIOD.
SOLAR WIND DATA SHOW A MODERATELY HIGH VELOCITY (500-575
KM/S) STREAM IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS. THE CORONAL MASS EJECTION MENTIONED ABOVE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 NOV a 30 NOV
| Clase M | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 NOV 103 Previsto 28 NOV-30 NOV 100/098/096 Media de 90 Días 27 NOV 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 NOV 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 NOV 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 NOV-30 NOV 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 NOV a 30 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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