Viendo archivo del lunes, 25 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 330 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04E06)
CONTINUED ITS GROWTH PHASE AND NOW MEASURES 880 MILLIONTHS IN
WHITE LIGHT. THE REGION IS PRIMARILY BIPOLAR IN STRUCTURE WITH A
SLIGHT MIXTURE OF POLARITIES IN THE NORTH-CENTRAL SPOTS. IT
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE C-CLASS ACTIVITY, THE LARGEST BEING A
C8/1F AT 0019Z. A NEW BIPOLE EMERGED NEAR S12W56 BUT IS AS YET
UNNUMBERED. REGION 7997 (N05W69) WAS STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW TO MODERATE. REGION 7999 SHOULD CONTINUE TO GENERATE X-RAY
FLARES, WITH M-CLASS EASILY ATTAINABLE IF IT REMAINS DYNAMIC.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS ACTIVE EARLY IN THE INTERVAL,
BECOMING QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 NOV a 28 NOV
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 NOV 104 Previsto 26 NOV-28 NOV 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 25 NOV 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 NOV 009/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 NOV 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 NOV-28 NOV 010/008-010/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 NOV a 28 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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