Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04E19)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL C-CLASS FLARES, BUT AT A HIGHER
CADENCE THAN YESTERDAY. THE REGION DOUBLED IN SPOT AREA TO
33O MILLIONTHS, AND SHOWS FREQUENT PLAGE FLUCTUATIONS. THE
OTHER SPOTTED REGION, 7997 (N05W54), WAS QUIET AND STABLE. SOHO
FE XII IMAGERY INDICATE A POSSIBLE CME FROM A SITE JUST SOUTH
OF REGION 7997 AT APPROXIMATELY 1200Z. THE ARCADE SPANNED
THE EQUATOR, CONNECTING TO NEAR S15. THE 10.7 CM FLUX REACHED
THE HIGHEST DAILY VALUE SINCE MARCH 3, 1994.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. REGION 7999 SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE C-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. NO GEOPHYSICAL
RESPONSE TO TODAY'S CME IS PREDICTED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 NOV a 27 NOV
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 NOV 100 Previsto 25 NOV-27 NOV 105/100/095 Media de 90 Días 24 NOV 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 NOV 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 NOV 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 NOV-27 NOV 015/008-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 NOV a 27 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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