Viewing archive of Sunday, 6 November 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Nov 06 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
06/1727Z from Region 3141 (N15E50). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (07 Nov,
08 Nov, 09 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 532 km/s at 06/1527Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8981 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Nov) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Nov to 09 Nov
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Nov 131 Predicted 07 Nov-09 Nov 130/130/125 90 Day Mean 06 Nov 131
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov 008/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 007/008-011/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov to 09 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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