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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 19 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 201 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jul 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (20 Jul, 21 Jul, 22 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 355 km/s at 19/0529Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 19/1139Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 19/1139Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 324 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (20 Jul, 21 Jul, 22 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 20 Jul to 22 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       19 Jul 069
  Predicted   20 Jul-22 Jul 068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        19 Jul 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jul  004/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 19 Jul  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jul to 22 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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