Viewing archive of Wednesday, 3 March 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 03 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. There are three, small, stable sunspot groups on the visible disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (04-06 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (04-06 March).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Mar to 06 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 Mar 080
  Predicted   04 Mar-06 Mar  080/080/082
  90 Day Mean        03 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar  003/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 03 Mar  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar to 06 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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