Viewing archive of Friday, 27 November 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Nov 27 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 331 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Nov 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The ACE spacecraft show solar wind velocities averaging around 350 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (28-30 November).
III. Event Probabilities 28 Nov to 30 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 Nov 074
  Predicted   28 Nov-30 Nov  071/070/070
  90 Day Mean        27 Nov 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 26 Nov  003/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 27 Nov  002/003
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Nov to 30 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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