Viewing archive of Thursday, 7 June 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jun 07 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 960 (S07W03) produced a few small C-class events as it continued to slowly decay and simplify. Region 959 (S11W31) reemerged during the period, from a spotless plage to a simple bipole with nine spots. Region 958 (S12W54) was quiet.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected be low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The GOES greater than 2 MeV electron flux attained high levels once again.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
Class M30%30%30%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Jun 086
  Predicted   08 Jun-10 Jun  085/080/080
  90 Day Mean        07 Jun 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun  002/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Jun  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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