Viewing archive of Monday, 2 April 2007
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Apr 02 2203 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 092 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Apr 2007IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity has been very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was active with periods of minor storming due
to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on April 3 and quiet on April 4 &
5.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Apr to 05 Apr
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Apr 071 Predicted 03 Apr-05 Apr 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 02 Apr 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Apr 017/030 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Apr 014/020 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr 012/012-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Apr to 05 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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