Viewing archive of Tuesday, 13 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 13 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active conditions may be possible late on 14 June and into 15 June as a recurrent coronal hole becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 Jun 077
  Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        13 Jun 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 13 Jun  003/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  008/008-010/012-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%25%15%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%25%25%
Minor storm05%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

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