Viewing archive of Friday, 9 June 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 09 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jun 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
in the last 24 hours. Region 892 (S06W02) remains beta-gamma and appears stable. Region 893 (S02E24) appears stable and is slowly decaying.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind velocity remains elevated at approximately 550 km/s, but is not producing enhanced geomagnetic activity. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field is expected
to be quiet to unsettled for the next 3 days (10 - 12 June).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jun to 12 Jun
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Jun 078 Predicted 10 Jun-12 Jun 078/078/078 90 Day Mean 09 Jun 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jun 018/020 Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jun 012/015 Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun 007/010-007/010-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jun to 12 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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