Viewing archive of Wednesday, 31 May 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 May 31 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 151 Issued at 2200Z on 31 May 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active for the next three days (01 - 03 June) with possible minor storm periods due to a recurrent coronal hole moving into geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 01 Jun to 03 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 May 078
  Predicted   01 Jun-03 Jun  080/075/080
  90 Day Mean        31 May 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 May  007/009
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 31 May  006/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 Jun-03 Jun  010/015-015/020-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jun to 03 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%25%25%
Minor storm10%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%30%30%
Minor storm15%20%20%
Major-severe storm05%10%10%

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