Viewing archive of Tuesday, 14 March 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Mar 14 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. Several low B-class flares were observed from newly numbered Region 860 (S03E50). New Region 859 (S07W79) was also numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. Occasional B-class flares are expected from Region 860.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar to 17 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       14 Mar 074
  Predicted   15 Mar-17 Mar  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        14 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 14 Mar  003/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar to 17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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