Viewing archive of Monday, 3 March 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 03 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 03 MAR 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED
VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT VERY
LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. SOLAR WIND
VELOCITY CONTINUED TO DECLINE. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT CONTINUED HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 MAR to 06 MAR
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 MAR 074 Predicted 04 MAR-06 MAR 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 03 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 MAR 014/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 MAR 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 MAR-06 MAR 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 MAR to 06 MAR
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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