Viewing archive of Friday, 31 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 31 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 031 Issued at 2200Z on 31 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8015 (N05E07), HAS
SLOWLY DECAYED TO A THREE SPOT BXO GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS, WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES
FROM 31/03-06Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH
TO VERY HIGH LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 01 FEB to 03 FEB
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 JAN 072 Predicted 01 FEB-03 FEB 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 31 JAN 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JAN 012/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 JAN 007/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 FEB-03 FEB 005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 FEB to 03 FEB
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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