Viewing archive of Tuesday, 24 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 24 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 359 Issued at 2200Z on 24 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW BY VIRTUE OF AN UNCORRELATED
C2.1 X-RAY EVENT THAT OCCURED AT 24/1311Z, WHICH HAD AN ASSOCIATED
TYPE II 800 KM/S RADIO EMISSION. THE C-CLASS EVENT WAS PROCEEDED BY
AN UNCORRELATED B6.4 X-RAY EVENT AT 24/1121Z. OTHER THAN THESE
EVENTS, ACTIVITY HAS BEEN RELATIVELY QUIET, WITH THE VISIBLE DISK
CURRENTLY VOID OF ACTIVE REGIONS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 25 DEC to 27 DEC
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 DEC 079 Predicted 25 DEC-27 DEC 074/072/070 90 Day Mean 24 DEC 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 DEC 009/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 DEC 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 DEC-27 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 DEC to 27 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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