Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 December 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 01 DEC 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S03W75) CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A C8/1N AT 30/2103Z. REGIONS 8001 (S19W68) AND 8002 (S24W18) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. ANOTHER SMALL M-CLASS FLARE MAY OCCUR BEFORE 7999 CROSSES THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 02 DEC to 04 DEC
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 DEC  083
  Predicted   02 DEC-04 DEC  080/078/075
  90 Day Mean        01 DEC  073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 NOV  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 DEC  002/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 DEC-04 DEC  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 DEC to 04 DEC
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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