Viewing archive of Saturday, 30 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 30 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 335 Issued at 2200Z on 30 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04W61)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL SUBFLARES SINCE YESTERDAY'S M-
CLASS ACTIVITY. THE REGION IS DECAYING SLOWLY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. C-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF ANOTHER
SMALL M-CLASS FLARE BEFORE 7999 EXITS THE VISIBLE DISK.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 01 DEC to 03 DEC
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 NOV 088 Predicted 01 DEC-03 DEC 085/082/080 90 Day Mean 30 NOV 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 NOV 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 NOV 002/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 DEC-03 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 DEC to 03 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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