Viewing archive of Tuesday, 12 November 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 12 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 317 Issued at 2200Z on 12 NOV 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7995 (N02E62) ROTATED INTO VIEW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE MOST DISTURBED
PERIOD OCCURRED FROM 12/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING UNSETTLED TO
ACTIVE DUE TO A RECURRENT DISTURBANCE.
III. Event Probabilities 13 NOV to 15 NOV
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 NOV 072 Predicted 13 NOV-15 NOV 072/072/074 90 Day Mean 12 NOV 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 NOV 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 NOV 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 NOV-15 NOV 010/010-010/020-010/025
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 NOV to 15 NOV
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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