Viewing archive of Friday, 23 August 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 23 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 236 Issued at 2200Z on 23 AUG 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURED
AT 23/0721Z WITH NO OPTICAL CORRELATION. REGION 7986 (S12E79)
WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. THE POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS FLARE DOES EXIST WITH
THE NEW REGION 7986.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE THE RESULT OF THE
LONG DURATION EVENT WHICH OCCURED ON AUGUST 21ST.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 AUG 074 Predicted 24 AUG-26 AUG 075/076/077 90 Day Mean 23 AUG 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 AUG 005/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 AUG 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 AUG-26 AUG 008/008-008/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 AUG to 26 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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