Viser arkiv af torsdag, 19 april 2001

Solaktivitetsrapport

Ethvert nævnt soludbrud i denne rapport har en skaleringsfaktor anvendt af Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). På grund af SWPC-skaleringsfaktoren rapporteres soludbrud som 42 % mindre end for videnskabelige kvalitetsdata. Skaleringsfaktoren er blevet fjernet fra vores arkiverede soludbrudsdata for at afspejle de sande fysiske enheder.
Rapport om sol-geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Apr 19 2200 UTC
Udarbejdet af NOAA © SWPC og behandlet af SpaceWeatherLive.com

Fælles USAF/NOAA-rapport om sol- og geofysisk aktivitet

SDF nummer 109 Udstedt til 2200Z på 19 Apr 2001

IA. Analyse af solaktive områder og aktivitet fra 18-2100Z til 19-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate due to an M2 x-ray flare at 19/1135 UTC. An optical flare report was not received but SOHO/EIT difference images suggest the source was Region 9433 (N17E64), the return of old 9393. All of this region appears to have rotated onto the disk and is presently seen as a moderately-sized (700 millionths) F-type sunspot group with some mixed polarities. This area also produced a few small C-class subflares during the day. Interestingly, a CME was visible entering the SOHO/LASCO/C2 field of view over the northwest limb shortly after the M2 at about 19/1200 UTC. The location suggests that departed Region 9415 was involved with this activity but any connection to the M2 discussed above may only be coincidental. Regions 9434 (N19W23) and 9435 (S21E28) were numbered.
IB. Solaktivitetsprognose
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 9433 is expected to continue to produce C-class flares and appears capable of additional M-class activity.
IIA. Geofysisk aktivitetsoversigt 18-2100Z til 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. The greater than 100 MeV proton event ended at 19/0325 UTC (start 18/0315 UTC, 12 pfu peak at 18/0600 UTC). The polar cap absorption (PCA) event has also ended (19/1400 UTC). The greater than 10 MeV proton event continues in progress (start 18/0315 UTC, 321 pfu peak at 18/1045 UTC, and current flux about 15 pfu at 19/2100 UTC) and is slowly decaying.
IIB. Geofysisk aktivitetsprognose
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to drop below event threshold sometime tomorrow (April 20 UTC).
III. Hændelsessandsynligheder 20 Apr til 22 Apr
Klasse M50%50%50%
Klasse X05%05%05%
Proton95%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10,7 cm Flux
  Observeret       19 Apr 145
  Forudsagt   20 Apr-22 Apr  155/165/175
  90 dages gennemsnit        19 Apr 165
V. Geomagnetiske A-indekser
  Observeret Afr/Ap 18 Apr  022/050
  Anslået     Afr/Ap 19 Apr  010/008
  Forudsagt    Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetisk aktivitetssandsynlighed 20 Apr til 22 Apr
A. Mellemste breddegrader
Aktiv10%10%10%
Mindre storm05%05%05%
Større-alvorlig storm01%01%01%
B. Høje breddegrader
Aktiv15%15%15%
Mindre storm10%10%10%
Større-alvorlig storm01%01%01%

Alle tider i UTC

<< Gå til den daglige oversigtsside

Seneste nyt

Støt SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mange mennesker besøger SpaceWeatherLive for at følge solens aktivitet, eller om der er nordlys at se, men med mere trafik kommer højere serveromkostninger. Overvej en donation, hvis du nyder SpaceWeatherLive, så vi kan holde hjemmesiden online!

61%
Støt SpaceWeatherLive med vores merchandise
Tjek vores merchandise

Fakta om rumvejr

Seneste X-probeturans15-05-2024X2.9
Seneste M-protuberans16-05-2024M1.0
Seneste geomagnetiske storm16-05-2024Kp6 (G2)
Pletfri dage
Sidste pletfri dag08-06-2022
Månedligt gennemsnitligt antal solpletter
april 2024136.5 +31.6
maj 2024156.6 +20.1
Seneste 30 dage177 +70.8

Denne dag i historien*

Protuberanser
12012M7.32
22013M4.61
32002M4.17
41999M3.33
52005M2.69
ApG
1198364G3
2195652G3
3197173G3
4195328G3
5199135G2
*siden 1994

Sociale netværk