Viendo archivo del sábado, 4 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 217 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1539 (S22E31) produced a
long duration C3/sf x-ray flare which began at 04/1104Z and ended at
04/1649Z. An associated limb event CME was observed in SOHO LASCO as
well as by STEREO coronagraphs, with an estimated speed of 905 km/s.
ENLIL depicts trajectory of the transient between Earth and STEREO
B, with a glancing blow expected beyond the forecast period. No new
active regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class over the next 3 days
(5-7 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be primarily quiet over the next 3 days (5-7 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Aug a 07 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Aug 139 Previsto 05 Aug-07 Aug 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 04 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Aug 008/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Aug 000/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Aug a 07 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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