Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 216 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Regions 1538 (S22E28), 1539
(S23E45), and 1540 (S27E60) produced C-class flares; the largest was
a C2/1f from Region 1539 at 0600Z associated with a Type II radio
sweep (estimated velocity: 622 km/s). A slow CME was observed off
the southeast limb at 0624Z but is not expected to be geoeffective.
Two new regions were numbered: Region 1540 (S27E60), a small bipolar
group and Region 1541 (S15E64), a small unipolar spot.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels
throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (August 04-06).
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Aug a 06 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Aug 140 Previsto 04 Aug-06 Aug 140/135/135 Media de 90 Días 03 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Aug 016/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Aug 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Aug a 06 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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