Viendo archivo del sábado, 24 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 084 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. A long duration C7/Sf flare
was observed from Region 1445 (S26E62) at 24/0901Z. This flare was
accompanied by a Type II radio sweep (587 km/s). A slow, weak CME
was later observed in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 24/1025Z; plane of
sky speed was estimated to be about 400 km/s. This CME is not
expected to be geoeffective. A backsided CME was observed in
LASCO/C2 at 24/0036Z imagery with an estimated plane of sky speed of
700 km/s. It appeared to originate from the vicinity of Old Region
1429.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. Active
levels were reached during 24/06-09Z after a prolonged period of
southward Bz. The remainder of the day saw quiet to unsettled
levels. The solar wind speed measured at the ACE spacecraft
increased throughout the period, ending around 450 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(25-27 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Mar 103 Previsto 25 Mar-27 Mar 110/120/120 Media de 90 Días 24 Mar 121
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Mar 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Mar 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Mar a 27 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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