Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 agosto 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Aug 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 243 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Aug 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was low. Regions 1281 (S20E28) and 1283
(N12E61) each produced a single C-class flare, the largest of which
was a C5/1f at 30/2246Z from Region 1281. Regions 1281 and 1282
(N25w13) each showed intermediate and trailer spot growth during the
period. No significant changes were noted in Region 1283, though
analysis was hampered due to limb proximity. New Region 1285
(N29W48), a small Axx group, was numbered. There were no
Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
through the period (01 - 03 September) with a slight chance for an
M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (01 - 02
September). Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
levels on day 3 (03 September), with a chance for active levels, due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Sep a 03 Sep
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Aug 109 Previsto 01 Sep-03 Sep 110/110/105 Media de 90 Días 31 Aug 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Aug 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Sep a 03 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Strongest geomagnetic storm since 2003, X5.8 solar flare
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm
viernes, 10 mayo 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm
Últimos mensajes del foro
May 2024 Geomagnetic Storms from AR 13664 (2) 94Timing of when Aurorae will peak on May 11th? 1Unproven theories 408Incoming Active Regions 259Why is SOHO so grainy right now? 1
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/11 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/12 | M3.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/11 | Kp9 (G5) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 140.5 +4 |
| Last 30 days | 172.8 +81.3 |