Viendo archivo del lunes, 18 julio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jul 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 199 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jul 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1254 (S22E11) produced the largest event of the
period, a C1/Sf flare at 18/1028Z. Two new regions were numbered
today: Region 1258 (N11W37) emerged on the disk and is magnetically
classified as a beta and Region 1259 (N26E69) rotated on the disk as
a Dao-beta group. Early in the period, two CMEs were observed in
LASCO C2 and C3 imagery but neither appear to be Earth directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next two days (19-20 July). Activity
is expected to decrease to very low levels on day three (21 July) as
Region 1257 (N20W69) rotates off the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels for the past
24 hours. Measurements by the ACE spacecraft indicated a solar
sector boundary crossing (from positive to negative) at around
18/0230Z. Following the crossing, coronal hole high-speed stream
characteristics were monitored, with solar wind speeds increasing
from 370 km/s to around 460 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (19 July),
and at quiet to active levels on days two and three (20-21 July), as
another coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jul 102 Previsto 19 Jul-21 Jul 102/100/096 Media de 90 Días 18 Jul 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jul 003/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jul 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul 010/010-012/012-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jul a 21 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 15 mayo 2024
More X-flares!
martes, 14 mayo 2024
X8.7 solar flare
lunes, 13 mayo 2024
M6.6 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/15 | X2.9 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/16 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/13 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 153.1 +16.6 |
| Last 30 days | 175.9 +69.7 |