Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 junio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jun 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 175 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jun 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was very low. There were two B class
flares in the past 24 hours. Region 1236 (N17W61) was unchanged but
produced a B3 event at 23/2233Z and a B4 event at 1549Z. Region
1240 (S19W12) and new Region 1241 (N19W08) appeared to be slowly
growing but were small and stable. Region 1239 (N17W44) was slowly
decaying.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Observations of
the solar wind from the ACE spacecraft indicated elevated speeds
between 590 - 630 km/s, consistent with a high speed stream from a
favorably positioned coronal hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jun 096 Previsto 25 Jun-27 Jun 095/090/090 Media de 90 Días 24 Jun 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jun 016/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jun 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 012/015-007/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jun a 27 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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