Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 junio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1226 (S22E01) produced
several C-class events during the period. This region is a Dsi
group with a beta magnetic classification. A further analysis of
LASCO imagery correlated the C4/1f at 01/1708Z from Region 1226 to a
Earth directed partial-halo CME. This event was observed by STEREO
COR2 imagery at 01/2009Z. Region 1227 (S19E13) is also a D-type
group with a beta magnetic classification. It produced a C3/2n at
02/0746Z with an associated Type IV radio sweep, and a Earth
directed partial-halo CME. STEREO COR2 and LASCO C3 imagery
observed the event with a plane-of-sky speed of 831 km/s. New
Region 1232 (N10E61) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (03 June). Active
conditions with isolated minor storm levels are expected for day two
(04 June) as a coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective,
and additional effects from recent CME activity. Day three (05
June) is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated
active conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 112 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 112/110/110 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 009/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 008/012-020/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 45% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 11 mayo 2024
Extreme G5 geomagnetic storm
viernes, 10 mayo 2024
Severe G4 geomagnetic storm
viernes, 10 mayo 2024
Coronal mass ejection impact, Severe G4 geomagnetic storm possible!
Últimos mensajes del foro
Geomagnetic storming, CMEs from AR 13664, 2024-05-09/10 1082Incoming Active Regions 247Traffic record broken!(?) Updated! 8Sporadic E and Flare activity 30Weakening of Earths magnetic field due to geomagnetic excursion 22
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/05/11 | X5.7 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/10 | M3.83 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/05/10 | Kp9 (G5) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| mayo 2024 | 139.8 +3.3 |
| Last 30 days | 170.5 +79.6 |