Viendo archivo del miércoles, 29 junio 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Jun 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jun 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. There were four B-class
flares in the past 24 hours. Region 1242 (N17W17) produced a B5/Sf
event at 0953Z and a B2 event at 1705Z. Region 1240 (S18W81) was
unchanged but produced a B7 event at 0032Z and a B2 event at 1952Z.
Region 1242 and Region 1243 (N16E50) appeared to be slowly growing
but were small and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (30 June), and quiet to unsettled on
days 2 and 3 (1 - 2 July). The increase in activity is forecast due
to recurrence of a favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jun 087 Previsto 30 Jun-02 Jul 087/087/087 Media de 90 Días 29 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jun 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul 005/005-007/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jun a 02 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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